Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028

Barchart · 11/15/2025 03:22

Kalshi has reported 217,087 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Zohran Mamdani", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,837,405 transactions since it was first opened on June 27, 2025. There are 851,764 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 164,159,654 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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