With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Cadiz Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CDZI) future prospects. Cadiz Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides water solutions in the United States. The US$431m market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of US$36m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of US$38m leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Cadiz's path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.
Cadiz is bordering on breakeven, according to some American Water Utilities analysts. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2024, before turning a profit of US$15m in 2025. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around a year from now or less! How fast will the company have to grow to reach the consensus forecasts that anticipate breakeven by 2025? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 67% year-on-year, on average, which is extremely buoyant. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.
We're not going to go through company-specific developments for Cadiz given that this is a high-level summary, though, bear in mind that by and large a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.
See our latest analysis for Cadiz
Before we wrap up, there’s one issue worth mentioning. Cadiz currently has a debt-to-equity ratio of 165%. Generally, the rule of thumb is debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, and the company has considerably exceeded this. Note that a higher debt obligation increases the risk in investing in the loss-making company.
There are key fundamentals of Cadiz which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Cadiz, take a look at Cadiz's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of key aspects you should further examine:
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.