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The Bull Case for PayPal (PYPL) Could Change Following Exclusive BigCommerce Payments Launch Announcement

Simply Wall St · 10/27/2025 18:13
  • On October 20, Commerce announced a new embedded payment processing solution, BigCommerce Payments, powered by PayPal and available exclusively to BigCommerce merchants in the US beginning in 2026, with plans for international rollout.
  • This co-branded integration enhances merchant access to advanced payment tools, including buy now, pay later with PayPal's Pay Later, and streamlines management through the BigCommerce Control Panel, further cementing the partnership's progress in digital commerce enablement.
  • We'll examine how PayPal's deeper integration with BigCommerce could influence its investment narrative and future merchant engagement outlook.

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PayPal Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

The big picture for PayPal shareholders centers on its evolution into a full-service commerce platform, leveraging embedded payments, data, and value-added services to deepen merchant and consumer relationships. While the exclusive BigCommerce Payments launch reinforces this strategic direction, it is unlikely to substantially alter the near-term focus, which remains on improving transaction margins and maintaining a competitive edge against rivals like Apple Pay and Amazon Pay. The most pressing risk is still competitive intensity in core checkout markets, which could impact revenue growth and merchant retention. Of PayPal’s recent announcements, the launch of PayPal Ads Manager on October 7 stands out as especially relevant. This solution expands PayPal’s platform utility for merchants, aligning with the broader push seen in the BigCommerce deal to embed PayPal deeper into core e-commerce workflows, potentially supporting future margin and engagement catalysts. But before getting too comfortable with the growth story, investors should note ongoing risks in key markets, especially as...

Read the full narrative on PayPal Holdings (it's free!)

PayPal Holdings' outlook anticipates $38.1 billion in revenue and $5.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes a 5.6% annual revenue growth and a $0.7 billion increase in earnings from the current $4.7 billion level.

Uncover how PayPal Holdings' forecasts yield a $82.22 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

PYPL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
PYPL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Forty-nine private investors in the Simply Wall St Community pegged PayPal’s fair value between US$75 and US$116 per share. Amid starkly varied outlooks, many are weighing competition from tech giants as a critical driver of PayPal’s performance. Explore more viewpoints to see how differently the risks and opportunities can be weighed.

Explore 49 other fair value estimates on PayPal Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 66% more than the current price!

Build Your Own PayPal Holdings Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your PayPal Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free PayPal Holdings research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate PayPal Holdings' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.