Markets bet on whether Donald Trump's approval rating will exceed 44.2% on October 10, 2025

Barchart · 10/10/2025 04:32

Kalshi has reported 19,770 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Donald Trump's approval rating be for Oct 9, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 27% chance for "Yes", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 26% probability.

If the VoteHub time-adjusted average for Donald Trump's approval rating is above 44.2% at 10:00 AM October 10, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 40,228 transactions since it was first opened on October 04, 2025. There are 21,321 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 638,549 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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