PMI Reaffirms 2025 Full-Year Forecast, Sees Adjusted EPS $7.43-$7.56;, Adj. EPS Excluding Currency $7.33-$7.46

Benzinga · 09/02/2025 13:09

PMI reaffirms its 2025 full-year reported diluted EPS forecast, announced on July 22, 2025, to be in a range of $7.24 to $7.37. Excluding a total 2025 adjustment of $0.19 per share, this forecast represents a projected increase of 13% to 15% versus 2024. Also excluding a favorable currency impact of $0.10, at prevailing exchange rates, this forecast represents a projected increase of 11.5% to 13.5% versus adjusted diluted EPS of $6.57 in 2024, as outlined in the below table.

Today's address will also cover a business update on Q3-to-date dynamics:

  • Combustible volume recovery in Turkey and volume dynamics in Egypt better-than-expected
  • Continued strong IQOS growth
  • Very good international ZYN and VEEV growth
  • Strong momentum in U.S. ZYN offtake, which has accelerated further since the second quarter to around 32% growth in the first 8 weeks of Q3, as measured by Nielsen. We had previously assumed 800 to 840 million cans in shipments for the full year. We now assume second-half year-on-year shipment volume growth broadly in line with second-half year-on-year offtake growth, as we intensify our commercial activities amid increasing competition, subject to distributor & wholesaler inventory movements which include some additional normalization in Q3 following the restocking of the first half and the return to full availability.

Factors described in the Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements section of this release represent continuing risks to these projections.

  Full-Year  
  2025
Forecast
  2024 Growth  
                       
Reported Diluted EPS $7.24 - $7.37   $ 4.52          
Adjustments:                    
Restructuring charges(1) 0.13   0.10          
Impairment of goodwill and other intangibles 0.03   0.01          
Amortization of intangibles(1) 0.50   0.40          
Loss on sale of Vectura Group   0.13          
Egypt sales tax charge   0.03          
Megapolis localization tax impact   0.05          
Income tax impact associated with Swedish Match AB financing (0.24)   0.14          
Impairment related to the RBH equity investment   1.49          
Fair value adjustment for equity security investments (0.26)   (0.27)          
Tax items 0.03   (0.03)          
Total Adjustments 0.19   2.05          
Adjusted Diluted EPS $7.43 - $7.56   $ 6.57   13% - 15%  
Less: Currency 0.10              
Adjusted Diluted EPS, excluding currency $7.33 - $7.46   $ 6.57   11.5% - 13.5%  
(1) See our Q2 2025 Earnings Release for details.