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To invest in Lam Research, you need to believe in the sustained global demand for advanced semiconductor fabrication equipment, fueled by AI adoption and new chip architectures. The recent omnibus shelf registration expands Lam's financial flexibility but does not materially impact the near-term catalyst, which remains the trajectory of capital spending by major foundries and memory makers. The most significant risk continues to be potential volatility or weakness in end-market demand as wafer fabrication equipment spending remains cyclical and sensitive to broader tech investment trends.
Among Lam's recent announcements, the $10 billion share repurchase program stands out for its relevance to shareholder value alongside the new shelf registration, reflecting management's confidence in the company's cash flow and earnings profile. While product launches like the ALTUS Halo etch tool underscore Lam's leadership in next-generation manufacturing, capital allocation initiatives signal management's ongoing effort to balance growth opportunities with returns to investors.
Yet, against this backdrop, it's important to recognize that changes in large customers' capital spending...
Read the full narrative on Lam Research (it's free!)
Lam Research's narrative projects $23.5 billion in revenue and $6.7 billion in earnings by 2028. This assumes 8.4% yearly revenue growth and a $1.3 billion increase in earnings from $5.4 billion today.
Uncover how Lam Research's forecasts yield a $108.77 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Eighteen members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate Lam's fair value between US$55 and US$135 per share. With wafer fabrication equipment demand tied closely to technology investment cycles, your outlook may differ significantly from others.
Explore 18 other fair value estimates on Lam Research - why the stock might be worth 45% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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