Markets bet on whether the upper bound of the federal funds rate will be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 10, 2025 meeting

Barchart · 08/17/2025 04:32

Kalshi has reported 3,750 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 10, 2025 meeting?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 14% chance for "Above 4.25%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 14% probability.

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 10, 2025 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 41,518 transactions since it was first opened on August 21, 2024. There are 26,686 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 44,204,278 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

This article contains syndicated content. We have not reviewed, approved, or endorsed the content, and may receive compensation for placement of the content on this site. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.