Markets bet on whether SpaceX will launch another Starship by Aug 16, 2025

Barchart · 08/12 04:28

Kalshi has reported 11,726 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 16, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Before August 17", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If SpaceX launches the Starship again by August 17, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 49,124 transactions since it was first opened on June 19, 2025. There are 22,990 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 363,368 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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