Last week, you might have seen that Agthia Group PJSC (ADX:AGTHIA) released its second-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.5% to د.إ4.12 in the past week. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of د.إ1.1b and statutory earnings per share of د.إ0.36. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Agthia Group PJSC's seven analysts is for revenues of د.إ5.22b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 8.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 83% to د.إ0.35. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of د.إ5.12b and earnings per share (EPS) of د.إ0.39 in 2025. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on Agthia Group PJSC after the latest results; whilethe analysts lifted revenue numbers, they also administered a small dip in per-share earnings expectations.
View our latest analysis for Agthia Group PJSC
The consensus price target was unchanged at د.إ6.33, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Agthia Group PJSC, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at د.إ7.50 and the most bearish at د.إ5.10 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Agthia Group PJSC's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Agthia Group PJSC'shistorical trends, as the 18% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 18% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 6.9% per year. So although Agthia Group PJSC is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Agthia Group PJSC. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at د.إ6.33, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Agthia Group PJSC going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Agthia Group PJSC (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.