Tribox Group AB (publ) (STO:TRIBO B) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.
After such a large drop in price, Tribox Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.2x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Tribox Group
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Tribox Group has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Tribox Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tribox Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tribox Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 32% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing the recent medium-term upward revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for contraction of 2.4% shows it's a great look while it lasts.
With this information, we find it very odd that Tribox Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
Tribox Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Upon analysing the past data, we see it is unexpected that Tribox Group is currently trading at a lower P/S than the rest of the industry given that its revenue growth in the past three-year years is exceeding expectations in a challenging industry. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. Amidst challenging industry conditions, perhaps a key concern is whether the company can sustain its superior revenue growth trajectory. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because this relative performance should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Tribox Group (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.