Av-Gad Holdings Ltd (TLV:AVGD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 99% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Av-Gad Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.7x, considering almost half the companies in Israel's Consumer Durables industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Av-Gad Holdings
Av-Gad Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Av-Gad Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Av-Gad Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 67% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 51% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 6.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we can see why Av-Gad Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
Av-Gad Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Av-Gad Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Av-Gad Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.