With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.3x Imperial Oil Limited (TSE:IMO) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Imperial Oil's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Imperial Oil
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Imperial Oil's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.7%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 105% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.8% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Imperial Oil's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Imperial Oil maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Imperial Oil that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.