According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 85.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 14.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0%; the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 32.8%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 58.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.9%; the probability of cutting interest rates by December is 5.5%; the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 26.0%; the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 41.0% 3%, cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points The probability is 24.1%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 100 basis points is 3.0%.

According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 85.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 14.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0%; the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 32.8%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 58.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.9%; the probability of cutting interest rates by December is 5.5%; the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 26.0%; the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 41.0% 3%, cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points The probability is 24.1%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 100 basis points is 3.0%.