Air Water Inc.'s (TSE:4088) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 22x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent earnings growth for Air Water has been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Air Water
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Air Water's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10% gain to the company's bottom line. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 12% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.1% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 8.6% per year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that Air Water is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Air Water currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Having said that, be aware Air Water is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Air Water, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.