The total return for Grupo Bimbo. de (BMV:BIMBOA) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last five years

Simply Wall St · 05/26 12:00

Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:BIMBOA) shareholders have seen the share price descend 16% over the month. But at least the stock is up over the last five years. In that time, it is up 54%, which isn't bad, but is below the market return of 79%.

In light of the stock dropping 4.1% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

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In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over half a decade, Grupo Bimbo. de managed to grow its earnings per share at 19% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 9% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
BMV:BIMBO A Earnings Per Share Growth May 26th 2025

Dive deeper into Grupo Bimbo. de's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Grupo Bimbo. de's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Grupo Bimbo. de the TSR over the last 5 years was 67%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Grupo Bimbo. de shareholders are down 14% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 4.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 11%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Grupo Bimbo. de you should be aware of.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Mexican exchanges.