SalMar ASA's (OB:SALM) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to NOK22.00 on the 2nd of July. The dividend yield will be in the average range for the industry at 4.4%.
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Based on the last payment, the company wasn't making enough to cover what it was paying to shareholders. It will be difficult to sustain this level of payout so we wouldn't be confident about this continuing.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 118.6%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 50%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Check out our latest analysis for SalMar
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was NOK8.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was NOK22.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. SalMar has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Unfortunately, SalMar's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. So the company has struggled to grow its EPS yet it's still paying out 98% of its earnings. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We don't think SalMar is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for SalMar (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. Is SalMar not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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