Geodrill (TSE:GEO) sheds 14% this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth

Simply Wall St · 04/09/2025 18:56

While Geodrill Limited (TSE:GEO) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 18% in the last quarter. But the silver lining is the stock is up over five years. However we are not very impressed because the share price is only up 87%, less than the market return of 87%.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 14%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over half a decade, Geodrill managed to grow its earnings per share at 17% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 13% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 9.01.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSX:GEO Earnings Per Share Growth April 9th 2025

We know that Geodrill has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts .

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Geodrill's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Geodrill shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 95%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Geodrill has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 19% in the last twelve months. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Geodrill , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Geodrill may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.