Slammed 26% Thomas Cook (India) Limited (NSE:THOMASCOOK) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

Simply Wall St · 03/04 00:41

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Thomas Cook (India) Limited (NSE:THOMASCOOK) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Thomas Cook (India)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 25x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Thomas Cook (India) has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Check out our latest analysis for Thomas Cook (India)

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:THOMASCOOK Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Thomas Cook (India)'s future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Thomas Cook (India)'s Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Thomas Cook (India) would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 11% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 25%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Thomas Cook (India) is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Thomas Cook (India)'s plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Thomas Cook (India) currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Thomas Cook (India).

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.