Ultra Micro Computer (SMCI.US) “Whistleblower” triggers options market carnival, bullish camps welcome a feast of profit

The Zhitong Finance App learned that, like the final draw in the stoppage to cover the point difference and the final back-jump shot in the second reading stage, the act of “pressing the whistle” to submit SEC regulatory documents by the leader in the AI server field brought fanatical bullish sentiment to a large number of short-term high-frequency trading groups involved.

Ultramicrocomputer submitted financial reports in accordance with NASDAQ regulations before February 25, 2025, local time, which addressed previous concerns raised due to delays in submitting financial reports. This move has strengthened investors' trust in corporate governance and transparency, and is expected to push the company's stock price into a sharp trajectory.

According to information, after the US stock market on Tuesday (cut-off date), Ultramicrocomputer submitted “long overdue” audited annual results reports for the first two quarters of fiscal year 2024 and fiscal year 2025. Be aware that if you miss the deadline, you may face a significant risk of being delisted from the NASDAQ market. Those bullish forces that bet on ultra-microcomputers being able to submit audited performance reports will undoubtedly reap huge returns on investment in a very short period of time. They have already used bullish options to bet that ultra-microcomputers will eventually be able to submit performance reports that meet NASDAQ standards.

This document triggered massive buying. The stock rose more than 20% before the market, and the biggest increase was as high as 27%. At one point, the pre-market stock trading price strongly broke through the key level of options buyers — around $56. As of press release, the stock price of ultra-microcomputer rose 21.15% to $55.170 before the US market.

According to SMCI options data:

The number of open call option contracts that officially expire on February 28 and the exercise price is 50 US dollars is 16,332 (each contract corresponds to 1,000 shares)

The outstanding volume of call options with an exercise price of $55 is 14,716

It is worth noting that if Ultramicrocomputer's stock price breaks through $60 this week, another 31,237 contracts will enter within the price — this is the largest open position among options due on February 28. All of these bullish curve-based contracts seem like good return on investment options.

Looking back at the depreciation option side:

On the other side of options trading betting, bearish forces that bet on ultra-microcomputers not being able to submit performance reports may pay the price and convert 9,966 put option contracts with an exercise price of 50 US dollars and expiring on February 28 to an off-price

The bearish contract with an exercise price of only $45 and an outstanding volume of 14,390 positions appeared to be expected to make some profit after the US stock market plummeted during the regular trading session on Tuesday, and now it has fallen further outside the bid range.

From a fundamental point of view, the rebound in ultra-microcomputer stock prices is probably far from over

According to investors who adhere to fundamentalism, the sharp rebound in ultra-microcomputer stock prices is far from over. After the DeepSeek-R1 big model with “low cost” and “high performance” as the core labels, the AI big model officially entered the low inference cost deployment channel. AI application software is expected to accelerate penetration into all walks of life, and inference side AI computing power demand is expected to expand exponentially. Therefore, ultra-micro computer stock prices may enter a long-term bull market trajectory under the unprecedented boom in AI layout in global enterprises.

Ultramicrocomputer previously released preliminary financial information for the second fiscal quarter of the 2025 fiscal year ending the end of December 2024. The results were mixed. However, in terms of market-focused performance forecasts, ultra-microcomputers are expected to reach 40 billion US dollars in fiscal year 2026, far higher than the market's forecast of 29 billion US dollars, and the annual growth rate is expected to exceed 60% in the next few years.

In the latest research report, Wall Street financial giant Morgan Stanley reiterated strong bullish expectations for the two core technology routes of AI chips — AI GPU and AI ASIC core stock shares, and emphasized that large technology companies such as Amazon, Google, and Microsoft's insistence on the sharp expansion of AI capital expenditure is also based on a surge in future application-side AI computing power demand, especially the surge in demand for cloud-based AI inference computing power. This also means that demand and shipments of servers equipped with Nvidia AI GPUs and AI ASICAI servers developed in-house by major cloud computing companies are expected to increase dramatically.

Although DeepSeek has completely set off an “efficiency revolution” at the level of AI training and inference, it is driving future AI model development to focus on the two major cores of “low cost” and “high performance,” instead of frantically burning money to train big artificial intelligence models using a “vigorous miracle” method. However, AI applications have penetrated into the heavyweight AI inference computing power requirements of various industries around the world, which means that the future demand for AI chips will still be a sea of stars, and the demand for high-performance AI servers will greatly increase.

Another major Wall Street bank, Goldman Sachs, said that ultra-microcomputers will be one of the winners in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, and are in a very favorable position to meet the needs of AI cloud service providers in the next few years.