Linkage Software Co., LTD's (SHSE:688588) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

Simply Wall St · 10/18 23:14

Linkage Software (SHSE:688588) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 71% over the last three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Linkage Software's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Linkage Software

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Linkage Software is:

4.2% = CN¥48m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Linkage Software's Earnings Growth And 4.2% ROE

It is hard to argue that Linkage Software's ROE is much good in and of itself. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 4.5%. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 13% seen by Linkage Software was possibly a result of the disappointing ROE.

That being said, we compared Linkage Software's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 0.8% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688588 Past Earnings Growth October 18th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Linkage Software's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Linkage Software Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Linkage Software's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 60% (or a retention ratio of 40%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. To know the 5 risks we have identified for Linkage Software visit our risks dashboard for free.

Additionally, Linkage Software has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Linkage Software. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Linkage Software's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.