Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for AR advanced technology (TSE:5578) Shareholders

Simply Wall St · 10/18 22:55

A lackluster earnings announcement from AR advanced technology, Inc. (TSE:5578) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

See our latest analysis for AR advanced technology

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TSE:5578 Earnings and Revenue History October 18th 2024

A Closer Look At AR advanced technology's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

AR advanced technology has an accrual ratio of 0.23 for the year to August 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥186m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of JP¥275.0m. AR advanced technology shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. One positive for AR advanced technology shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of AR advanced technology.

Our Take On AR advanced technology's Profit Performance

AR advanced technology's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that AR advanced technology's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with AR advanced technology (including 2 which make us uncomfortable).

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of AR advanced technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.