We Think Shenzhen Capchem Technology (SZSE:300037) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Simply Wall St · 10/18 22:32

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shenzhen Capchem Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300037) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Capchem Technology

What Is Shenzhen Capchem Technology's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Shenzhen Capchem Technology had CN¥3.23b of debt, up from CN¥2.98b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.91b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥328.0m.

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SZSE:300037 Debt to Equity History October 18th 2024

How Strong Is Shenzhen Capchem Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Capchem Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.19b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.67b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.91b in cash and CN¥3.58b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥378.2m.

Having regard to Shenzhen Capchem Technology's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥29.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Shenzhen Capchem Technology has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Shenzhen Capchem Technology's net debt is only 0.23 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 565 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Shenzhen Capchem Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 26% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Capchem Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Shenzhen Capchem Technology recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Shenzhen Capchem Technology's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Shenzhen Capchem Technology's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Capchem Technology you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.