Summi (Group) Holdings Limited's (HKG:756) 33% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St · 10/18 22:25

Summi (Group) Holdings Limited (HKG:756) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 28% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may consider Summi (Group) Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 4.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Summi (Group) Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:756 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

What Does Summi (Group) Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Summi (Group) Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Summi (Group) Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Summi (Group) Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Summi (Group) Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 27% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.5% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Summi (Group) Holdings is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Summi (Group) Holdings' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Summi (Group) Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Summi (Group) Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit concerning.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).