DHC Software Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002065) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Simply Wall St · 10/18 22:22

DHC SoftwareLtd (SZSE:002065) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 36% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on DHC SoftwareLtd's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for DHC SoftwareLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for DHC SoftwareLtd is:

1.6% = CN¥194m ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of DHC SoftwareLtd's Earnings Growth And 1.6% ROE

As you can see, DHC SoftwareLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 4.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 16% seen by DHC SoftwareLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

So, as a next step, we compared DHC SoftwareLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 2.7% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002065 Past Earnings Growth October 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if DHC SoftwareLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is DHC SoftwareLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 37% (that is, a retention ratio of 63%), the fact that DHC SoftwareLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, DHC SoftwareLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about DHC SoftwareLtd. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for DHC SoftwareLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.