Redfin Corporation (NASDAQ:RDFN) Stock's 26% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

Simply Wall St · 10/18 11:27

Redfin Corporation (NASDAQ:RDFN) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 107%.

Following the heavy fall in price, Redfin's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.4x and even P/S above 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Redfin

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RDFN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

What Does Redfin's Recent Performance Look Like?

Redfin could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Redfin will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Redfin?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Redfin's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 17% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Redfin is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Redfin's P/S

The southerly movements of Redfin's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Redfin remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Redfin (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.