Earnings Working Against Titan Machinery Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TITN) Share Price

Simply Wall St · 10/18 10:58

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Titan Machinery Inc. (NASDAQ:TITN) as a highly attractive investment with its 5.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Titan Machinery as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Titan Machinery

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TITN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Titan Machinery's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Titan Machinery's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 50%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 78% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 73% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 10% per annum, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Titan Machinery's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

What We Can Learn From Titan Machinery's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Titan Machinery maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Titan Machinery you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.

You might be able to find a better investment than Titan Machinery. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).