What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on General Dynamics is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = US$4.3b ÷ (US$55b - US$18b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, General Dynamics has an ROCE of 11%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 11%.
See our latest analysis for General Dynamics
In the above chart we have measured General Dynamics' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering General Dynamics for free.
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at General Dynamics doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 15% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that General Dynamics is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 99% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
General Dynamics could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for GD on our platform quite valuable.
While General Dynamics may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.