Chieftek Precision (TWSE:1597) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Simply Wall St · 10/18 01:37

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Chieftek Precision Co., Ltd. (TWSE:1597) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Chieftek Precision

How Much Debt Does Chieftek Precision Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Chieftek Precision had NT$1.26b of debt, an increase on NT$1.17b, over one year. However, it also had NT$807.3m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$448.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:1597 Debt to Equity History October 18th 2024

How Strong Is Chieftek Precision's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Chieftek Precision had liabilities of NT$566.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.10b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$807.3m and NT$258.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$603.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Chieftek Precision shares are worth a total of NT$9.16b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Chieftek Precision's net debt is 3.3 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 23.1 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Chieftek Precision's EBIT was down 76% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chieftek Precision can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Chieftek Precision recorded free cash flow of 27% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Chieftek Precision's EBIT growth rate and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Chieftek Precision's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Chieftek Precision is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.