Insufficient Growth At Goertek Inc. (SZSE:002241) Hampers Share Price

Simply Wall St · 10/18 01:09

Goertek Inc.'s (SZSE:002241) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.9x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Goertek

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002241 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

What Does Goertek's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Goertek hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Goertek.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Goertek's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 29% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 18% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Goertek is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Goertek's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Goertek maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Goertek that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Goertek, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.