There's No Escaping Vitura Health Limited's (ASX:VIT) Muted Revenues Despite A 33% Share Price Rise

Simply Wall St · 10/17 23:08

Vitura Health Limited (ASX:VIT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 72% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Vitura Health may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 5.3x and even P/S higher than 19x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Vitura Health

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:VIT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024

What Does Vitura Health's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Vitura Health, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Vitura Health's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Vitura Health's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.6% gain to the company's revenues. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were fairly tame in comparison. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 159% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Vitura Health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Vitura Health's P/S

Shares in Vitura Health have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

In line with expectations, Vitura Health maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Vitura Health that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).