Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:422) Shares

Simply Wall St · 10/17 22:33

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Auto industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:422) P/S ratio of 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:422 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024

What Does Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We find it unexpected that Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings) trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings) you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).