There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Wealth Management (TSE:3772), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Wealth Management, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.052 = JP¥2.2b ÷ (JP¥54b - JP¥11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Wealth Management has an ROCE of 5.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 9.8%.
View our latest analysis for Wealth Management
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Wealth Management's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Wealth Management.
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Wealth Management doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.2% from 43% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Wealth Management. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 4.9% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Wealth Management (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.