Is NTT DATA Group (TSE:9613) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St · 10/17 21:26

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NTT DATA Group Corporation (TSE:9613) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for NTT DATA Group

What Is NTT DATA Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 NTT DATA Group had debt of JP¥2.44t, up from JP¥1.89t in one year. On the flip side, it has JP¥601.6b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥1.84t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9613 Debt to Equity History October 17th 2024

A Look At NTT DATA Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NTT DATA Group had liabilities of JP¥2.83t due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥1.85t due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥601.6b in cash and JP¥1.45t in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥2.63t.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of JP¥3.44t. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

NTT DATA Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.6 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. We note that NTT DATA Group grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NTT DATA Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, NTT DATA Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say NTT DATA Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making NTT DATA Group stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with NTT DATA Group (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.