Great-West Lifeco Inc.'s (TSE:GWO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been pleasing for Great-West Lifeco as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Great-West Lifeco
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Great-West Lifeco will help you uncover what's on the horizon.There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Great-West Lifeco's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 40%. EPS has also lifted 15% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.7% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Great-West Lifeco is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Great-West Lifeco's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Great-West Lifeco with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Great-West Lifeco. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.