Group 1 Automotive's (NYSE:GPI) five-year earnings growth trails the 29% YoY shareholder returns

Simply Wall St · 10/17 15:54

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) which saw its share price drive 249% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 21% over the last quarter.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Group 1 Automotive investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

See our latest analysis for Group 1 Automotive

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, Group 1 Automotive managed to grow its earnings per share at 39% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 28% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 8.80 also suggests market apprehension.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:GPI Earnings Per Share Growth October 17th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Group 1 Automotive's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Group 1 Automotive, it has a TSR of 262% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Group 1 Automotive shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 49% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 29% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Group 1 Automotive (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

Of course Group 1 Automotive may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.