Some Confidence Is Lacking In Unitil Corporation's (NYSE:UTL) P/E

Simply Wall St · 10/17 10:31

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 19x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Unitil Corporation's (NYSE:UTL) P/E ratio of 20.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times have been pleasing for Unitil as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Unitil

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:UTL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Unitil will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

Unitil's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's bottom line. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 26% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.2% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Unitil is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Unitil currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Unitil (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Unitil. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.