There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ:CBRL) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = US$73m ÷ (US$2.2b - US$454m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).
So, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store has an ROCE of 4.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 10%.
Check out our latest analysis for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store .
In terms of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 24%, but since then they've fallen to 4.3%. However it looks like Cracker Barrel Old Country Store might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
To conclude, we've found that Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 64% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.