If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Asahi Group Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.058 = JP¥259b ÷ (JP¥5.7t - JP¥1.2t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, Asahi Group Holdings has an ROCE of 5.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Beverage industry average of 7.7%.
View our latest analysis for Asahi Group Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Asahi Group Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Asahi Group Holdings for free.
Unfortunately, the trend isn't great with ROCE falling from 11% five years ago, while capital employed has grown 124%. That being said, Asahi Group Holdings raised some capital prior to their latest results being released, so that could partly explain the increase in capital employed. Asahi Group Holdings probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt. It's also worth noting the company's latest EBIT figure is within 10% of the previous year, so it's fair to assign the ROCE drop largely to the capital raise.
On a related note, Asahi Group Holdings has decreased its current liabilities to 22% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
While returns have fallen for Asahi Group Holdings in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 11% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.
Asahi Group Holdings does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Asahi Group Holdings that you might be interested in.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.