Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad (KLSE:HAPSENG) stock falls 5.2% in past week as five-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend

Simply Wall St · 10/16 22:07

Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. Zooming in on an example, the Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad (KLSE:HAPSENG) share price dropped 62% in the last half decade. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 30% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 13% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

View our latest analysis for Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 9.0% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 17% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
KLSE:HAPSENG Earnings Per Share Growth October 16th 2024

This free interactive report on Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad, it has a TSR of -52% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad had a tough year, with a total loss of 26% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 16%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Of course Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Malaysian exchanges.