Benign Growth For SomnoMed Limited (ASX:SOM) Underpins Stock's 27% Plummet

Simply Wall St · 10/16 20:54

SomnoMed Limited (ASX:SOM) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 46% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, SomnoMed may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 16x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for SomnoMed

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SOM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 16th 2024

What Does SomnoMed's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, SomnoMed has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SomnoMed will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is SomnoMed's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SomnoMed would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.6%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 46% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.0% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that SomnoMed's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On SomnoMed's P/S

Shares in SomnoMed have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of SomnoMed's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for SomnoMed (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.