When close to half the companies in Chile have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Cencosud S.A. (SNSE:CENCOSUD) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 29.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Cencosud's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Cencosud
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Cencosud.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Cencosud's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 45%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 44% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 54% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Cencosud's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Cencosud maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Cencosud that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Cencosud. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.