Is Triunfo Participações e Investimentos (BVMF:TPIS3) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St · 10/16 09:07

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos S.A. (BVMF:TPIS3) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Triunfo Participações e Investimentos

How Much Debt Does Triunfo Participações e Investimentos Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos had R$1.44b of debt in June 2024, down from R$1.62b, one year before. On the flip side, it has R$54.3m in cash leading to net debt of about R$1.38b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:TPIS3 Debt to Equity History October 16th 2024

How Healthy Is Triunfo Participações e Investimentos' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos had liabilities of R$468.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.40b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$54.3m in cash and R$93.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$1.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$262.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Triunfo Participações e Investimentos would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Triunfo Participações e Investimentos's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.2, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.0 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. One redeeming factor for Triunfo Participações e Investimentos is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of R$251m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Triunfo Participações e Investimentos will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Triunfo Participações e Investimentos recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 97% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Triunfo Participações e Investimentos's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Triunfo Participações e Investimentos's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Triunfo Participações e Investimentos (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.