Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002531) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd had CN¥10.2b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥516.9m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥9.70b.
According to the last reported balance sheet, Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥9.07b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥7.05b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥516.9m as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.58b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥10.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥14.4b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 2.5 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2 hit our confidence in Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd's EBIT was down 32% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
To be frank both Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou)Ltd (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.