There's No Escaping Deutsche Lufthansa AG's (ETR:LHA) Muted Earnings

Simply Wall St · 10/16 04:32

Deutsche Lufthansa AG's (ETR:LHA) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Germany, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 31x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Deutsche Lufthansa's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Deutsche Lufthansa

pe-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:LHA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 16th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Deutsche Lufthansa will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Deutsche Lufthansa would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 31%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.7% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Deutsche Lufthansa's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Deutsche Lufthansa's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Deutsche Lufthansa maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Deutsche Lufthansa that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Deutsche Lufthansa. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).