China Baoan Group's (SZSE:000009) five-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

Simply Wall St · 10/16 01:43

The China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000009) share price has had a bad week, falling 15%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. Its return of 89% has certainly bested the market return! Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for five years, so spare a thought for those caught in the 49% decline over the last three years: that's a long time to wait for profits.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 15%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for China Baoan Group

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, China Baoan Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 14% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 14%. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000009 Earnings Per Share Growth October 16th 2024

Dive deeper into China Baoan Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Baoan Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Baoan Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 92%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that China Baoan Group shareholders are down 14% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 0.6%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 14%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Baoan Group .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.