Does Wharf (Holdings) (HKG:4) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Simply Wall St · 10/16 00:33

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, The Wharf (Holdings) Limited (HKG:4) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Wharf (Holdings)

How Much Debt Does Wharf (Holdings) Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wharf (Holdings) had debt of HK$19.3b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from HK$23.9b over a year. However, it does have HK$10.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$8.67b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:4 Debt to Equity History October 16th 2024

A Look At Wharf (Holdings)'s Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Wharf (Holdings) had liabilities of HK$22.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$27.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$10.6b as well as receivables valued at HK$1.77b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$37.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Wharf (Holdings) has a market capitalization of HK$66.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Wharf (Holdings)'s net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that Wharf (Holdings) has increased its EBIT by 9.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wharf (Holdings)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Wharf (Holdings) recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 88% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Wharf (Holdings)'s interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Wharf (Holdings) takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Wharf (Holdings) insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.