What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Shyam Metalics and Energy (NSE:SHYAMMETL) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Shyam Metalics and Energy is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.094 = ₹10b ÷ (₹144b - ₹37b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Shyam Metalics and Energy has an ROCE of 9.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 16%.
Check out our latest analysis for Shyam Metalics and Energy
In the above chart we have measured Shyam Metalics and Energy's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Shyam Metalics and Energy for free.
The trend of ROCE doesn't look fantastic because it's fallen from 15% five years ago, while the business's capital employed increased by 261%. However, some of the increase in capital employed could be attributed to the recent capital raising that's been completed prior to their latest reporting period, so keep that in mind when looking at the ROCE decrease. Shyam Metalics and Energy probably hasn't received a full year of earnings yet from the new funds it raised, so these figures should be taken with a grain of salt.
In summary, Shyam Metalics and Energy is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 159% return in the last three years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Shyam Metalics and Energy does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shyam Metalics and Energy that you might be interested in.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.