Transformers and Rectifiers (India) (NSE:TARIL) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

Simply Wall St · 10/16 00:04

Transformers and Rectifiers (India) Limited's (NSE:TARIL) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

View our latest analysis for Transformers and Rectifiers (India)

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:TARIL Earnings and Revenue History October 16th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Transformers and Rectifiers (India) has an accrual ratio of 0.22 for the year to September 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹636m despite its profit of ₹1.21b, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₹636m, this year, indicates high risk. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Transformers and Rectifiers (India) issued 5.3% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

As you can see above, Transformers and Rectifiers (India) has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 718% over three years. And the 922% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 838% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So Transformers and Rectifiers (India) shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s Profit Performance

In conclusion, Transformers and Rectifiers (India) has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means its earnings per share growth is weaker than its profit growth. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Transformers and Rectifiers (India)'s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Transformers and Rectifiers (India) as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Transformers and Rectifiers (India).

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.