Garware Hi-Tech Films Limited (NSE:GRWRHITECH) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 172% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 33x, you may consider Garware Hi-Tech Films as a stock to potentially avoid with its 38.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Garware Hi-Tech Films as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Garware Hi-Tech Films
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Garware Hi-Tech Films, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Garware Hi-Tech Films' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 50% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 67% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Garware Hi-Tech Films' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
Garware Hi-Tech Films' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Garware Hi-Tech Films currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Garware Hi-Tech Films (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Garware Hi-Tech Films, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.