Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603390) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

Simply Wall St · 10/15 23:56

Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric (SHSE:603390) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last month. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric is:

1.6% = CN¥26m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's Earnings Growth And 1.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 8.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 58% seen by Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

So, as a next step, we compared Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 9.9% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603390 Past Earnings Growth October 15th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 80% (or a retention ratio of 20%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric.

Additionally, Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

On the whole, Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric's performance is quite a big let-down. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Guangzhou Tongda Auto Electric and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.